Bug-fixing model assumptions
Model assumptions: 7.023 hours of manual work per bug, $15 per successful Fairlead fix, 75% success and manual fallback for the rest. AI-augmented work assumes 10% less direct effort. Semi-autonomous work assumes 55% less direct effort and 75% success.
The cost model includes 15 minutes of human review per resolved bug in all four approaches, manual fallback, context switching and release overhead. It excludes QA acceptance, setup and infrastructure.
The projection starts with an initial month’s bug load, then adds new bugs in months 1 through 12. It includes thirteen monthly bug loads in total. Like-for-like adds capacity to resolve the full bug load. With it off, manual and assisted capacity includes review time. Agent paths assume capacity for human fallback.
ROI = (manual cost − Fairlead cost) / Fairlead cost.